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Release 24.04 - Alternative Investments

divider new moduleAbility to model inverted J-curve

Relevant for secondary fund-of-fund mainly as fund manager buys at discount. This functionality allows investors in illiquid alternative assets to refine their forecasts for strategy specific cashflow and interim performance patterns.

For many investors an important use case is mitigating their portfolio of primary funds’ J-curve and the associated accounting losses through adding secondary funds-of-funds. 

The J-curve relates to the pattern the average fund shows from its investors’ perspective when it posts negative returns in its initial years and then its returns increase as the fund matures. The negative returns notably result from a fund’s underperforming and failing assets that are written off in their early days before the outperformers make their impact. Secondary buys, if at a discount, typically show an inverted J-curve, first showing a high internal rate of return (IRR) that, however, over time comes down again. 

The functionality is not confined to secondary funds-of-funds but can be applied other strategies as well. For illustration, a VC fund’s typically more pronounced J-Curve is caused by the high number of initial write-offs; effectively, the fund managers are buying the portfolio at a premium to the assets’ fair value. This premium can now be set in the model.

Benefits

  • Increases the investment coverage in ASTRA.
  • Gives users a more accurate view on their future portfolio’s value creation development.
  • Combining funds with different strategies helps users in constructing portfolios with targeted cashflow and valuation development characteristics.
  • Enhances deterministic and stochastic forecasting models to handle fund manager value added through systematic discounts / premiums. 

 

Users can set strategy-dependent Premium/discount in the Forecast Model, with discounts being a negative figure.

 

An example of a secondary fund-of-fund modelled by setting premium/discount to –20% (20% discount). The contribution of 50 million leads to a NAV of more than 60 million due to the discount in 2024 . A similar behavior can be observed for later years . This leads to a higher IRR in the early life of the secondary fund-of-fund compared to the value at termination. Hence we will have an inverted J-Curve. 

Subscription based licensing

Alternatives Strategy Analysis

Sales module dependency

Alternative Investments Manager
Cash-flow Forecasting for Illiquid Alternative Investment Funds

divider new moduleModelling Divestment plan for secondary sells

With this new functionality the user can simulate and assess the impact of selling a share in a fund that is currently in the portfolio at a given future date and price.

Benefits

  • Ability to model the impact of a secondary sell on the investment strategy.
  • Increased front office analytical capabilities to assess ‘what-if’ 

ASTRA_Divestment_Plan 

The Portfolio Strategy now supports adding a Divestment Plan. Users can ‘click' together several positions to be sold and specify date, share of commitment (between 0% and 100%) sold and amount that would be received. Subsequent forecasts are based on the new commitment (old commitment - draft commitment) and hence reduced proportionally based on the draft commitment.

Subscription based licensing

Alternatives Strategy Analysis

Sales module dependency

Alternative Investments Manager
Cash-flow Forecasting for Illiquid Alternative Investment Funds

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